Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 438.172007 497.767615 563.781319 642.549181 734.264302 838.025259 964.782310
2026-01-18 340.535185 416.535171 508.227782 627.872137 781.138991 972.599826 1232.558070
2026-01-25 286.419527 367.668635 471.374339 615.087355 811.658501 1074.889386 1460.489391
2026-02-01 258.805893 345.740077 462.028428 631.583228 876.913900 1225.963162 1772.970190
2026-02-08 232.160935 320.488144 443.314750 630.198247 913.821666 1338.965688 2045.772691
2026-02-15 209.358439 297.291157 423.746826 623.460812 939.631044 1436.237199 2307.412036
2026-02-22 193.487286 281.992172 413.287737 627.992077 981.708988 1562.624052 2636.057268
2026-03-01 176.548042 263.144130 395.115264 617.594976 997.237037 1646.021021 2902.486554
2026-03-08 163.223521 248.430749 381.602909 612.652203 1020.336452 1744.185814 3211.535383
2026-03-15 147.790284 228.927277 358.460949 588.741572 1006.858621 1774.098827 3392.579789
2026-03-22 142.462492 225.192530 360.558772 608.144013 1073.042879 1960.102961 3922.826298
2026-03-29 138.532167 223.336344 365.467264 632.787982 1151.742655 2181.407679 4572.549351
2026-04-05 130.919180 214.772114 358.334759 635.172924 1188.968198 2327.493221 5091.721180
2026-04-12 121.436589 202.232713 343.135979 620.816431 1191.099295 2400.921271 5457.396759
2026-04-19 113.178091 191.184202 329.627580 608.189236 1194.942193 2478.180301 5848.861191
2026-04-26 109.641229 188.294435 330.761215 624.472250 1261.848921 2707.108959 6685.051205
2026-05-03 104.109431 181.314449 323.602338 623.105183 1289.938156 2850.178093 7324.471208
2026-05-10 98.411481 173.597933 314.383940 616.454947 1305.188836 2964.580155 7911.040648
2026-05-17 94.470969 168.901442 310.622724 620.927583 1346.579235 3150.743397 8759.253873
2026-05-24 89.219179 161.319834 300.549402 610.664913 1351.647421 3244.157426 9344.646254
2026-05-31 84.938273 155.338845 293.236435 605.785928 1369.206892 3373.801348 10083.978223
2026-06-07 79.103129 145.926407 278.246559 582.182773 1337.241332 3362.834701 10345.844542
2026-06-14 77.795006 145.458392 281.727787 601.335852 1416.749212 3679.759681 11857.090020